Demand Forecasting
Aggregate forecasts at Nationwide (NW) and DC level. Realized accuracy on the aggregate, not on individual outlets — the right view for sales-and-ops planning.
Scope
Nationwide
10 outlets · 10 SKUs
Aggregate forecast
346.7k cases
Aggregate actual
215.6k cases
Realized accuracy (1 − WAPE)
99.2%
Aggregation cancels out idiosyncratic SKU × outlet noise — typically much higher than per-pair WAPE.
Forecast vs Actual — Nationwide
DC breakdown
Same period, broken out by serving DC. Click a DC to drill in.
Weekly detail
| Week | Forecast | Actual | Error | APE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22T00:00:00Z | 16,283.3 | 16,198.9 | 84.4 | 0.5% |
| 2026-03-01T00:00:00Z | 16,768.6 | 16,713.9 | 54.7 | 0.3% |
| 2026-03-08T00:00:00Z | 17,234.5 | 17,164.2 | 70.3 | 0.4% |
| 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z | 17,662.4 | 17,163 | 499.4 | 2.9% |
| 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z | 18,035.4 | 18,094.7 | -59.2 | 0.3% |
| 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z | 18,338.6 | 18,434.9 | -96.3 | 0.5% |
| 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z | 18,559.8 | 18,837 | -277.2 | 1.5% |
| 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z | 18,690.2 | 18,820.6 | -130.3 | 0.7% |
| 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z | 18,724.8 | 18,625 | 99.7 | 0.5% |
| 2026-04-26T00:00:00Z | 18,661.9 | 18,636.9 | 25 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-03T00:00:00Z | 18,504.3 | 18,397.4 | 106.8 | 0.6% |
| 2026-05-10T00:00:00Z | 18,258.1 | 18,478.3 | -220.2 | 1.2% |
| 2026-05-17T00:00:00Z | 17,933.1 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-24T00:00:00Z | 17,542.4 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z | 17,101.5 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z | 16,628 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z | 16,140.7 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z | 15,659.1 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-28T00:00:00Z | 15,202.5 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-05T00:00:00Z | 14,788.9 | — | — | — |