Demand Forecasting
Aggregate forecasts at Nationwide (NW) and DC level. Realized accuracy on the aggregate, not on individual outlets — the right view for sales-and-ops planning.
DC
DC Central — Da Nang
2 outlets · 10 SKUs
Aggregate forecast
69k cases
Aggregate actual
43k cases
Realized accuracy (1 − WAPE)
98.2%
Aggregation cancels out idiosyncratic SKU × outlet noise — typically much higher than per-pair WAPE.
Forecast vs Actual — DC Central — Da Nang
Weekly detail
| Week | Forecast | Actual | Error | APE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22T00:00:00Z | 3,238.6 | 3,300 | -61.4 | 1.9% |
| 2026-03-01T00:00:00Z | 3,335.1 | 3,325.5 | 9.6 | 0.3% |
| 2026-03-08T00:00:00Z | 3,427.8 | 3,449.7 | -21.9 | 0.6% |
| 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z | 3,512.9 | 3,341.7 | 171.2 | 5.1% |
| 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z | 3,587.1 | 3,604.6 | -17.6 | 0.5% |
| 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z | 3,647.4 | 3,567.9 | 79.5 | 2.2% |
| 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z | 3,691.3 | 3,827.5 | -136.2 | 3.6% |
| 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z | 3,717.3 | 3,762 | -44.7 | 1.2% |
| 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z | 3,724.2 | 3,679.6 | 44.5 | 1.2% |
| 2026-04-26T00:00:00Z | 3,711.7 | 3,773.4 | -61.7 | 1.6% |
| 2026-05-03T00:00:00Z | 3,680.3 | 3,639.3 | 41.1 | 1.1% |
| 2026-05-10T00:00:00Z | 3,631.4 | 3,719 | -87.7 | 2.4% |
| 2026-05-17T00:00:00Z | 3,566.7 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-24T00:00:00Z | 3,489 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z | 3,401.3 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z | 3,307.1 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z | 3,210.2 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z | 3,114.4 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-28T00:00:00Z | 3,023.6 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-05T00:00:00Z | 2,941.3 | — | — | — |