Demand Forecasting
Aggregate forecasts at Nationwide (NW) and DC level. Realized accuracy on the aggregate, not on individual outlets — the right view for sales-and-ops planning.
DC
DC South — HCMC
3 outlets · 10 SKUs
Aggregate forecast
108.3k cases
Aggregate actual
67.2k cases
Realized accuracy (1 − WAPE)
98.5%
Aggregation cancels out idiosyncratic SKU × outlet noise — typically much higher than per-pair WAPE.
Forecast vs Actual — DC South — HCMC
Weekly detail
| Week | Forecast | Actual | Error | APE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22T00:00:00Z | 5,087.8 | 5,012.2 | 75.5 | 1.5% |
| 2026-03-01T00:00:00Z | 5,239.4 | 5,215.2 | 24.2 | 0.5% |
| 2026-03-08T00:00:00Z | 5,385 | 5,345.6 | 39.3 | 0.7% |
| 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z | 5,518.7 | 5,215 | 303.7 | 5.8% |
| 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z | 5,635.2 | 5,664.2 | -29 | 0.5% |
| 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z | 5,730 | 5,772.4 | -42.4 | 0.7% |
| 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z | 5,799.1 | 5,943 | -143.9 | 2.4% |
| 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z | 5,839.8 | 5,808.5 | 31.4 | 0.5% |
| 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z | 5,850.6 | 5,795.3 | 55.3 | 1.0% |
| 2026-04-26T00:00:00Z | 5,831 | 5,780 | 50.9 | 0.9% |
| 2026-05-03T00:00:00Z | 5,781.7 | 5,880.9 | -99.2 | 1.7% |
| 2026-05-10T00:00:00Z | 5,704.8 | 5,811.2 | -106.4 | 1.8% |
| 2026-05-17T00:00:00Z | 5,603.3 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-24T00:00:00Z | 5,481.2 | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z | 5,343.4 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z | 5,195.5 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z | 5,043.2 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z | 4,892.7 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-28T00:00:00Z | 4,750.1 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-05T00:00:00Z | 4,620.8 | — | — | — |